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Tuesday, January 12, 2010

Greek economy figures unreliable;EU stats office

Eurostat, the European Union's statistics arm, said Tuesday that Greece's government budget figures were unreliable and seem to have been falsified to play down a budget crisis that has shaken the EU.

Eurostat said the Greek statistical office NSSG had complained of political interference in the financial figures that were sent to the EU executive in October. The NSSG is currently controlled by the Greek Finance Ministry.

The ministry blamed the problems on Greece's previous conservative government when "every sense of statistical reliability and transparency was abused." The ministry said it planned reforms to make NSSG independent, but did not say when that would happen.

Greece's current center-left government, which took power on Oct. 4, has "set the target of restoring the country's credibility, recognizing the importance of reliable statistical data," the Finance Ministry statement said.

Eurostat also blamed poor bookkeeping for the low quality of Greek statistics and said that it still had "a substantial number of unanswered questions" on spending for social security, hospital arrears and deals between the government and state-owned companies.

Greece shocked bond markets and other EU governments in October when it announced that its 2009 deficit would be a staggering 12.5 percent of gross domestic product, far above the 3.7 percent it estimated the previous spring. The growing debt is forecast to overtake Italy this year as Europe's highest.

Revising figures for recent years could see Greece's current debt and deficit figures increase again.

Eurostat said there was "deliberate misreporting" in accounts, citing fudged figures for interest payments, EU grants, unpaid hospital debt and swaps write-offs that made the deficit appear smaller.

"The current set-up does not guarantee the independence, integrity and accountability of the national statistical authorities," Eurostat said. It warned that unless these problems are tackled, "the reliability of Greek deficit and debt will remain in question."

The European Commission will within weeks formally condemn Greece for breaking EU debt limits and comment on a budget program that Greece will send the EU executive this month on how it plans to reduce debt over the next few years.

EU President Herman Van Rompuy told reporters after meeting Greek officials in Athens on Tuesday that he was confident that the government would make the reforms needed and to start reducing debt soon with tough action.

He said this was "a matter of common interest" to the entire EU.

Greece's debt crisis shows how little power the EU executive has to rein in countries that don't follow EU budget rules designed to align the economies of the 16 nations that use the euro and support the shared currency. Athens has for years ignored EU recommendations to reduce debt and reform spending.

The EU's economy commissioner candidate, Olli Rehn, said Monday that EU officials should have the power to audit Greek statistics, saying it was "very difficult to take a long-term view" on the economy when its figures couldn't be trusted.

He said he did not believe the current crisis would force Greece to quit the euro, calling on Athens to come up with "concrete and tangible" plans to cut spending and raise revenues to pay off debt.

Greece last week increased taxes on tobacco and alcohol.

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